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The influence of trades of iron alloy to be very careful to deal with fact

This year, deals of hard metal in the in the household market, expansion to a certain bounds, chiefly condensed concurrently in the main purpose of silicon hard metal, hot-rolled hard metal plates, etc. volumes and varieties. Due to the spiky descent in hard metal trade overseas and deals family member expansion in March this year, the Chinese billet into a mesh deal of lumber has been the circumstances, this is the first time since three years.

Interviewed immediately and steel industry experts, who generally thinks that, although to judge from the current situation, yet not constitute a long-term trends may be a stage, but must continue to observe this difference, the prudent response.

Import “all of a rapid boost in” going by car down iron alloy market

According to statistics of applicable agencies display that in February this year, China imported 1.09 million tons of iron alloy, an boost in January than 220,000 tons; trades 310,000 tons iron alloy billet, an boost of 18 million tons of iron alloy trades from the ring than to turn around the down tendency issue of outlook, to boost more than 25%; to March, 1.27 million tons of iron alloy trades, comprising a development in February and 16.5%; 460,000 tons of trades of billet, and in March than increased. Month in March, the total timber spaces have been altered to snare trades, which is in 2006 our homeland became a snare exporter of iron alloy after the first.

According to “My steel and steel” and other knowledge, for instance hard metal mills and Magang who saw that the hard metal deal “all of a swift advance in”, chiefly condensed concurrently in the size of hot-rolled plates, billets, and other kinds oriented silicon steel. Volume of hot-rolled plates and billets in the first two months of this year have been a “net import”; oriented silicon hard metal at the end of February, early March and the end of March have distilled on the happening of the attainment of imports. Shanghai Steel Trade and Chamber of Commerce stakeholders to consider the prevailing quite low-cost foreign volumes of hot-rolled plates are still “down stream.”

According to investigation, several worldwide steel-producing nations of the exchange rate alterations, the considerable depreciation of the currency relation to the dollar, may be a rush in trades of the going by car forces. In supplement, China’s iron alloy market demand, a pointed shrinkage of market demand in China is somewhat good, the worldwide community and the Chinese finances is anticipated to choose up, take benefit of the use of cost affray in the Chinese market share, foreign iron alloy has become an inescapable alternative to find a way out.

According to reporters that the enquiry, the household sales of iron alloy goods has been sensed in varying qualifications the influence of imported products. This effect is not echoed in the allowance of primary, but in the general cost fluctuations. Magang Lee Marketing and Baosteel International sales are a reflection of capacity of trades of hot-plate and other goods in the amount can not state too much, but the household iron alloy charges will “pull down” some time before capacity tons of household thermal cost of more than 3,100 yuan, trade charges have been underneath 3,000. Oriented silicon iron alloy market is subject to the influence of low-cost imported goods, tons of worth early in January from 4 million dropped drastically from 2.2 million actually, the down turn is the biggest of all diversity of steel.

Do not have the “long-term trend,” the situation

Response to modifications in hard metal deals, Baoshan Iron and Steel Institute of accuse Wu Ying, China Metallurgical Industry Planning Research Institute, vice head of Lee and the recently brought ahead “My steel and steel,” Jia liang qun knowledge instrumentalities and other skilled population trust that the advance in hard metal deals is in all likelihood to carry on for some time. However, the prevailing circumstances to ascertain, on the total happening is a stage, does not intend that China’s hard metal deal and trade overseas of inflection point.

According to the analysis of stakeholders, there is now a net monthly import, export of steel is only hampered by a relative performance. In February this year, China’s steel export volume has been reduced to 39 months to the lowest point in March, although a slight pick-up chain, but still remain low. Relative to exports, as long as the increase in imports, on the vulnerable situation of net imports. However, the evolution of the market trend of global crude steel production in China in addition to nearly 40% of the rate of decline in the long-term maintenance is impossible, as the international short process of the restoration of production, will drive steel prices and global steel prices pick-up, which will gradually produce an environment conducive to exports of domestic steel price space. At the same time, the downward pressure on domestic steel prices will be “top” of the impact of steel imports to live, after all, the volume of imports of steel consumption in the domestic iron and steel plate in the total proportion of less than 3%.

Since the worldwide fiscal critical purpose, the in the household hard metal development in a arduous position. At present, a without bias extensive concurrence that the development is: the annoyances of the steel and hard metal development the most direct justification is that the fiscal critical purpose in a swift contraction of demand as a effect, the store costs of prospecting and the precipitous descent in hard metal costs produced by the forfeit of a large area; to be the market a little warmer, the hard metal visually ruined rehabilitation and goods produced, hard metal costs carry on to get higher, effecting in Steel City over, “bottom.” And more intense reason: the structure of overload scope for and serious, in actual the alive of a large number of rearward goods produced capacity; highly-developed attentiveness is small, crude hard metal goods produced enterprises less than the midpoint amount of one million tons, position the apex five hard metal goods produced enterprises of the countrywide total only about 28%; steel ore supplies and the small stage of maritime security, skills to answer to modifications in the market; immature market procedure of hard metal, steel and hard metal yield more than 150,000 sellers, operators are likely to more speculative; yield homogenization serious. The consequence of deals of hard metal market is a “plus or” factors.

Prudent to deal with different situations

News interview in the enquiry of associates of commerce accepts as factual that the structure of China’s iron alloy trades, it is essential to differentiate between distinct positions, to make a distinct investigation in alignment to reply in a aimed at manner.

It is comprehended that in the Chinese hard metal deals to feed processing and processing of imported about 54 out of 100 more than those of hard metal after the windup of processing of trade overseas, in the household use did not in item, is embodied in the demand for foreign markets; deals for in the household use accounting for about 45% of steel. Imports of plate hard metal, are chiefly of in the household goods produced can not generate or can not get concurrently the wants but in addition of high value-added yield, embracing the breadth of less than 1 mm cold-rolled sheet with the specifications, the breadth of 0.3 millimeters less than the yardstick cold-rolled lean & P band and so on, the deal dependency oriented silicon hard metal is as high as 51.4%. Products in the in the household hard metal development has not yet been concluded the upgrading of the structure, the deal of high value-added yield is inevitable; For the matching fluctuations in the deal of yield, it reflects the interaction between in the household and foreign markets, the need to make an very correct assessment.

Experts trust that for the time being, obstructed the trade overseas of hard metal, getting higher inventories of in the household supplies, the consequence of hard metal deals “Three meet,” will surely change in the competitiveness of in the household hard metal market circumstances, worthy of continued attention. Strong dependence on the deal of high value-added yield should be corrected in the implementation of highly-developed revitalization arranging efforts to enhance capability of unconnected research, endorse the high-end “import substitution” strategy; for quite low-end hard metal yield, but deals will help moderate in the household steel and hard metal development restructuring and lessening of steel ore are right away reliant on, do not have to anxiety too much about.

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